Losing Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays and Buster Posey (retirement) are two huge blows, leaving voids that cant be filled directly. After adding closer Craig Kimbrel, the gap between Los Angeles and its NL West foes is even wider. Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. The NL West was incredibly loaded in 2021, with the Giants finishing with the best record in baseball and the Dodgers owning the second-best record in baseball. The top of the MLB power rankings remains steady and it's likely to stay that way. 2 spot. Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? Heading into 2022, this division figures to be just as thrilling as the Padres continue to establish themselves as a threat in the league. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. Pair that with a strong bullpen and a productive lineup. Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # Now, the Red Sox also have Trevor Story, who should certainly enjoy teeing off the Green Monster. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? By Dom Luszczyszyn. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season, including complete standings, playoff teams and the World Series winner. Sign In. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. Paired with the expanded 12-team playoff field and the opportunities afforded by the universal designated hitter, more clubs were active in March than expected, setting up some interesting postseason races for the new season. Can the Los Angeles Angels avoid bad fortune? They lost Rodn, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. The rotation lost Robbie Ray but added Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi. If Byron Buxton is healthy, he's one of the games' brightest stars, but that continues to remain a big "if.". The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnaut's MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more.. MLB games today will offer daily predictions and the full schedule for the entire season from 2022 Opening Day to the World Series. For now, well be focused on development for the young pitchers and the eventual debuts of Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. But it's easy to see them beat those projections. All Rights Reserved. I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. The model isn't too favorable on them jumping right back into contention in 2022. Cactus League. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnauts MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more. and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. The injury to Jacob deGrom is a major blow to the Mets' chances of winning the division, but if he's healthy once he comes back from his shoulder injury, New York would look like one of the best teams in the NL. If I believe the Dodgers end the regular season with the most wins, I like my chances for hitting the over here. Last year, Casey Mize, Matt Manning and Tarik Skubal got a taste of the big leagues and showed promise, and will be expected to take it a step farther in 2022. But as you might expect, they don't agree on everything. The NL Central is mediocre, at best, and the Cardinals are a part of the mediocrity. That doesn't mean anyone should sleep on New York. As for the Washington Nationals, the greatest hitter in MLB (Juan Soto) cant fix their rotation, bullpen nor take multiple spots in the batting order. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. Robbie Ray, the AL Cy Young winner, is also gone. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. Picks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. The Detroit Tigers farm system leads us to believe they are a future World Series contender, but the big leap isnt coming until 2023. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. They also signed Jon Gray, who could be due for a breakout season now that he's no longer pitching in Coors Field. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: Newcastle United vs Manchester City. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. Throw in a few more guys like Gunnar Henderson and DL Hall, and this team could be fun to watch in a few years. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Duke vs. UNC odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. After these rivals, located just 7 miles apart, met in the . Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! PECOTA views the Bronx Bombers as heavy favorites in the AL East, with Toronto projected for roughly nine fewer wins. The Padres are absolutely a fringe playoff contender in the NL, but I'm not seeing them on the cusp of 90 wins. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. Toronto has the best odds of winning the pennant at 16.9 percent, while the White Sox and Astros trail narrowly behind at 15.2 and 13.9 percent, respectively. The reigning World Series winners emerge as the favorites to win their division, with New York and Philadelphia appearing as strong contenders for wild cards. The . But ZiPS doesnt see it that way, and neither does PECOTA. Tyler Stephenson finishes with 20+ home runs, 80+ runs, and 80+ RBIs. Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. Fans of the Yankeesare disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. The Cardinals pitching may be a question mark, but the club has an excellent defense and good roster depth, not to mention a lineup featuring reigning NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt at first base, perennial All-Star Nolan Arenado at third and new addition Willson Contreras at catcher. 3. Considering the randomness involved, predicting the yearly MLB saves leader might be as difficult as any stat in baseball. The model's outlook of the AL Central is perhaps what differs from conventional wisdom the most in its projections. I don't think they are bottom-feeder level (Orioles, Pirates, Diamondbacks), though. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. Three were on pace in whatever the 2020 season was. Three key contributors in the lineup Brandon Crawford, Brandon Belt, Mike Yastrzemski are 30 or older, and while they aren't getting younger, their bats certainly did not appear any slower in 2021. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. Kyle Tucker will now be seen as one of the offensive leaders, along with slugger Yordan Alvarez. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off 8,128 plate appearances. 1 overall spot in the AL. Plus, in the NL West, the Dodgers are awesome and the Giants are coming off a 107-win season. This year, no one will sleep on the Mariners. There is going to be some competition in Texas soon enough for the AL West crown. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. Perhaps it would be a bit closer if two-time NL MVP Bryce Harper were healthy, but he underwent Tommy John surgery in November and might be out until July. There wasn't a better trio of starting pitchers in baseball last year than those onthe Brewers. Pitching depth will be crucial because of the compressed training period before the regular season starts. LAD Los Angeles Dodgers. From back-to-back division champions to the cellar, the Twins'tumble in 2021 came as a shock after looking like a dominant team in each of the prior two years. Tampa Bay Rays Many thought they'd be that bad last year and they won 74 games. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. I'm not a Phillies fan. . The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. The Fernando Tats Jr. injury creates a bigger separation from the Dodgers in the projected MLB standings, but hell be back by July. It does not expect full seasons out of both Trout and Ohtani, who have not in their four years together each had seasons where they both appeared in at least 120 games. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). A young Tigers team will take another step forward . PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. With the signing of Max Scherzer and the acquisition of Bassitt, the Mets' 1-2-3 punch, when healthy, is now deGrom, Scherzer and Bassitt, and that's before getting to Taijuan Walker and Carlos Carrasco. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. SEA . Coming off an 81-81 campaign, San Francisco had an offseason that can best be described as OK. The Giants had grand designs to add a superstar, but they came up short in the Judge sweepstakes and walked away from a deal with Carlos Correa, reportedly due to concerns about his physical. However, this is still a loaded team. Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. You famously cannot predict baseball. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! Carter Kieboom has been hyped for some time, and will finally be given a full opportunity once he returns from his forearm injury. Trevor Story is out, but he had a down year anyway and Kris Bryant is in. LAA Los Angeles Angels. I just feel like they'll need a miracle this season. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. C'mon Rocks! RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. They're expected to have the league's highest payroll in 2023, but it won't be enough. Payroll is the one thing keeping the Cleveland Guardians from putting up a great fight against Chicago. After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. So without further ado, we present to you seven bold predictions for the 2022 MLB season. The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. Are the Blue Jays even with the Yankees, or way behind? 3 - New York Mets. by Handedness. . Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. 2023 Playoff Odds, . This doesn't necessarily mean they'll win the World Series and a surprisingly disappointing season is always possible. November 17, 2021 Mitch Hill MLB. Four teams won at least 100 in 2019. Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. (Get latest betting odds) Manchester City and Newcastle United face . ET. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. Below, we look at those 2022 World Series odds; be sure to check back for our MLB picks and predictions as the season ramps up. We also like the move to acquire both Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez. The model is also high on the pitching of the Giants, giving San Francisco a major edge going into the postseason even as a wild-card team. Comprehensive Major League Baseball news, scores, standings, fantasy games, rumors, and more The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. Disappointment in 2021 compelled the New York Mets to spend even more money this offseason. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. O/U wins: 91.5. One of the more remarkable tidbits about last season was the Dodgers' total being 103.5, them hitting the over with room to spare and still not winning the NL West. Offensively, there is room for improvement on this team in 2022. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. This year is going to be a bit of a mixed bag forthe Nationals. I like mid-90s for Blue Jays wins in 2022, and that gets us home here. The Mets committed nearly $500 million to free agents this offseason, re-signing Edwin Daz and Brandon Nimmo while also inking Justin Verlander, Kodai Senga and Jos Quintana to replace departed starters deGrom, Chris Bassitt and Taijuan Walker. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . Jose Altuve continues to hit, and the cast around around him continues to get younger. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . Despite believing that the Astros are more likely to win the pennant, it sees the Rays as a slightly more likely team to win the World Series. Were seeing the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics head in opposite directions. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening . Today's MLB slate is very busy, and the first game is at 3:10 pm ET. The Dodgers are currently favored to take it all. 2. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. But in this new season, expectations are once again high for them. The St. Louis Cardinals strengthened their rotation depth this offseason, signing Steven Matz. The only six teams with greater than a 5 percent chance of reaching the World Series are the four leaders in the AL East and the White Sox and Astros. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. These are the teams with the top odds: 1. However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G . The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. ET (ESPN). The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. They are picked as a slight favorite to win the Commissioner's Trophy, just edging out the Blue Jays. Theres no question the Padres have the talent to win the NL West, even a World Series title is possible. 5 starter. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. But neither system is buying Texas as a contender in 2023. The Post's Joel Sherman predicts the AL Central: 1. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. TeamRankings.com is not affiliated with the National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) or March Madness Athletic Association, neither of which has supplied, reviewed, approved or endorsed the material on this site. Luis Robert is a darkhorse MVP candidate, Jose Abreu is consistent and there is even more All-Star talent (Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal, Tim Anderson). Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. I was going to be choosing between the Red Sox and Rays and the Rays' number is four higher, so here we are. The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. It's been more than a decade since the Phillies made the playoffs but with Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber on board, this may be the best all-around team they've put together in recent years Credit to the Marlins for spending some money on Avisail Garcia ($53 million) and Jorge Soler ($36 million). It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. The Seattle Mariners will win the AL West, just not this year. Despite employing Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, the Halos missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season in 2022. Bryan Reynolds was a highlight for the team in 2021 as he earned an All-Star nod, and Ke'Bryan Hayes showed potential to be the next face of the franchise. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. Major League Leaders . Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. It's a win-win, really. Here's who they think will rule the ninth inning in 2023. Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. As for the Rays, the Wander Franco hype is real. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. Look, I know they do some sort of sorcery there, but the pitching depth is depleted and that's a rough division. After reaching the playoffs in 2020 and winning the AL Central with a 93-69 record the following year, the White Sox seemed poised to establish themselves as the divisions alpha dog in 2022. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . TheBrewers Way? After signing Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Jon Gray for a combined $556 million in 2021, the Rangers inked Jacob deGrom, Andrew Heaney, Nathan Eovaldi and Martn Prez and traded for Jake Odorizzi this offseason. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. For anyone followingthe Reds, this has been a puzzling offseason. Clayton Kershaw has struggled to stay healthy, but has been dominant when on the mound. It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter. Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. The 2020 World Series champions have +600 odds to lift the Commissioner's Trophy in 2022, while the Pirates, Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for the lowest at +25000. You can do it! Jonathan India and Tyler Stephenson shined in their rookie seasons, and are expected to continue to improve, and a healthy Nick Senzel could help him live up to his top prospect billing. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. Check out the Major League Baseball Detailed Standings including East, Central and West Division Stats on Baseball-Reference.com. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. As of now, this is the best team in the AL East. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. 5 min read. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. . The pitching staff is worrisome. Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff. The Records are updated Live on the MLB Standings after each game finishes. The Cubsare engaging in a rebuild/reload to try and keep the team competition, while also building up its young core again. There were three last season. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. Again, I don't think they'll be good, overall, but I have a buffer of 92 losses here, as 70-92 gets the job done. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. Key player: Luis Robert. And during the postseason, that anything-can-happen dynamic only grows stronger, with MLB's new, expanded format only increasing the number of potential outcomes. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . If the 2021 Mariners were a 76-win true talent team and their true talent this season is, say, eight games better, they'd go 84-78, right? Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five MLB.com writers to give it their best shot. Wed be even higher on this team because of its exciting rotation, if not for the fact Phillys defense is the worst in baseball. Nov. 4, 2022. Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. It might sound like an easy pick after the Padres went 79-83 last season and now are going to be without Fernando Tatis, Jr. for weeks or even months. However, pitching is a major concern. They still have Juan Soto, who continues to receive Ted Williams' comparisons, but the rest of the team is a bit unknown. The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. They battled through adversity and were able to outlast the Houston Astros en route to a world series trophy. However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. Sticky standings Sticky standings. Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. Maybe. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted.
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